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Author Topic: SCOMI  (Read 7075 times)
Maxforce
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« Reply #15 on: November 11, 2006, 08:07:39 PM »

Value pick? Hmm... I like the sound of it  grin grin grin

CA's got a few type lah actually.
Like Scomi one - if you win means BCB loses... so do you think you could beat BCB and its bunch of GLC fund support? Plus am sure they have dozens of qualified professionals ensuring that you dont win.  knuppel2 knuppel2

Furthermore, when the mother share is like so cheap, the liquidity of the CA's will be substantially reduced.

If like Maybank-CA or Genting-CA, then different story... liquidity is more or less there lah
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swingtrader100
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« Reply #16 on: November 17, 2006, 08:25:55 PM »

SCOMI made a lower low today (17/11) at the 1.13 resistance line after going on an upward swing since 8/11. This is a chart signal to take partial profit. Assuming entry was made at 0.90 on 8/11 when the previous day high was taken out, at current price(1.14) this would amount to a 25% profit.
See daily chart attached.

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Maxforce
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« Reply #17 on: November 17, 2006, 08:36:36 PM »

Better close position - lock profits safer
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Maxforce
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« Reply #18 on: November 17, 2006, 09:33:03 PM »

Ok test power... candlestick alone...  cool cool

Based on the candles - on 16/11, the upper long shadow showed a bearish rejection.
Though only one candle, due to the position of the candle at what I termed as key resistance, this showed a difficulty in the current uptrend.
Furthermore, with today 17/11's candle - it forms a dark cloud cover at a key resistance area.
Candle addition wise, we would see that it forms a spinning top. This needs to be confirmed with the next candle.
Assuming that the next candle (Monday) opens and closes lower than 1.10, then the spinning top pattern is confirmed.

Hence, I conclude that a trend reversal has been signalled.

P/S: Testing my skills in candlestick charting. Aim is to achieve at least 50% accuracy without the aid of other indicators. Trade at your own risk. I m not responsible for your actions. I ve missed the boat for this one anyway, so I have no money in Scomi.
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swingtrader100
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« Reply #19 on: January 15, 2007, 09:42:01 PM »

SCOMI could be back. A potential higher low on daily chart is supported by a higher MACD and rising 20-day MA.
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Trademore
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« Reply #20 on: January 27, 2007, 09:14:44 AM »

Guess what! I would rather call for entry and using stop loss at 97c. Simply look at peak to peak line and trough to trough suggest if the closing break RM1.08 it may need to test resistance let say at RM1.22. Volume is high..emm..bigboy wanna make a bull trap? Yeah U can make it.

By looking at the Research House recommendation since 24.08.2006  until 29.11.2006 with these sequence :
BUY-SELL-BUY-BUY-HOLD (4 research house) and now my 10c suggestion is to BUY at our own risk.  coolsmiley

See my ugly chart. Dare to share and let Bizfun website NO.1 in Malaysia.  afro afro afro

He he he...let's see how BIGBOY wanna trap us...ha ha ha... Someone say when we show our interest here, then bigboy will watch it....he he he...now I'm calling them to watch us... 2funny  2funny  2funny
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Tctf
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« Reply #21 on: April 18, 2008, 05:33:04 PM »

it reach to it support point at 0.8.
any chance this counter from stage 4 to stage 1 ?
it look delicious..(cheap compare to last time...)
« Last Edit: April 18, 2008, 05:34:37 PM by Tctf » Logged
smallcap
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« Reply #22 on: May 06, 2008, 05:45:39 PM »

Wow! did u enter after u commented on 18th of April? not bad leh the performance after that afro
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Tctf
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« Reply #23 on: May 12, 2008, 12:15:20 AM »

Wow! did u enter after u commented on 18th of April? not bad leh the performance after that afro

no wor. since the overall chat is droping so, i stil want and see.
but this counter many ppl goreng/watch, so i just stand by a side 1st.... wait and see tactics
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suredie2
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« Reply #24 on: June 17, 2008, 09:54:30 AM »

Damn! Is this true?
 




WHAT IS NEVER MENTIONED IN Mainstream Media like NST/TheStar/Utusan/BH are these facts....



Malaysian PerCapita Income USD 5000

VS

Singaporean PerCapita Income USD 25000



Further The Star made a comparison of prices in Thailand , Singapore
and Indonesia .



For Thailand it is quoted at RM3.90/liter, however are they aware that
in Thailand new cars are cheaper than Malaysia by RM10,000? They pay
only one life time for their driving license? No renewal fee after
that? Also that goes for road tax as well? And do TheStar also aware
that you can drive all the way from Hadtyai to Bangkok on a six lane
highway without paying any Tolls ??!!


Whereas here in Malaysia you have to pay yearly renewal for road tax ,
driving license and TOLLS, TOLLS, TOLLS!!!

For Singapore how can you quote RM 5.20 ? Please quote in Singapore
Dollars because they are earning in Sing Dollars. You might as well
say Europeans are paying RM10/liter. RM5.20/liter = Sing $ 2.20/liter,
still cheaper than Malaysia in view of fact that Singapore is not a
crude oil exporter. Are you saying that you fill up petrol in
Singapore by paying Ringgit?



In economy, dollar to dollar must be compared as apple to apple. Not
comparing like durian in M'sia is much cheaper than durian in Japan!!
Of course-lah, Japan is not durian producer!!! Comparing Malaysian
durian with Thailand durian make more sense!!

For Indonesia we might say is cheaper there at RM2.07/liter but
compare that to their level of income!





Now, let us compare the price with OIL PRODUCING countries:



UAE – RM1.19/litre
Eygpt – RM1.03/litre
Bahrain – RM0.87/litre
Qatar – RM0.68/litre
Kuwait – RM0.67/litre
Saudi Arabia – RM0.38/litre
Iran – RM0.35/litre
Nigeria – RM0.32/litre
Turkmenistan – RM0.25/litre
Venezuela – RM0.16/litre
MALAYSIA – RM2.70/litre





RM 2.70!!! Individual perspective:



As of last month a Toyota Vios would 'cause a damage' of about RM 89,000.

In the international market, a Toyota Vios is about USD 19,000

USD 19,000 = RM 62,700 (using the indicative rates of USD 1 = RM 3.30)

That makes Malaysian Vios owners pay an extra RM 26,300.



This RM 26,300 should be cost of operations, profit and tax because
the transportation costs have been factored in to the USD 19,000.



RM 26,300/ RM625 petrol rebate per year translates to a Vios being
used for 42.08 years.



I do understand that the RM 625 is a rebate given by the government,
but it also means that one has to use the Vios for 42.08 years just to
make back the amount paid in taxes for the usage of a foreign car.
Would anyone use any kind of car for that long?



Now with these numbers in front of us, does the subsidy sound like a
subsidy or does it sound like a penalty? This just seems to be a heavy
increment in our daily cost of living as we are not only charged with
high car taxes but also with a drastic increase in fuel price.



With all the numbers listed out, I urge all Malaysians to join me in
analyzing the situation further.



Car taxation is government profit, fuel sales is Petronas' (GLC)
profit which also translates into government profit. The government
may ridicule us Malaysians by saying look at the world market and fuel
price world wide. Please, we are Malaysians, we fought of the British,
had a international port in the early centuries (Malacca), home to a
racially mixed nation and WE ARE NOT STUPID!!!



We know the international rates are above the USD 130/barrel. We
understand the fact that the fuel prices are increasing worldwide and
we also know that major scientist are still contradicting on why this
phenomenon is happening. Some blame Bush and his plunders around the
world and some blame climate change and there are others which say
petroleum 'wells' are getting scarce.



Again we go back to numbers to be more straight fwd

1 barrel = 159 liters x RM2.70/liter = RM 429 or USD 134

On 1 hand, we are paying the full cost of 1 barrel of crude oil with
RM2.70 per liter but on the other hand the crude oil only produces 46%
of fuel.

Msia sells crude oil per barrel at USD130 buys back Fuel per barrel at
USD134. And not forgetting, every barrel of fuel is produced with 2
barrels of crude oil.



1 barrel crude oil = produce 46% fuel (or half of crude oil), therefore

2 barrel crude oil = approximately 1 barrel fuel

In other words, each time we sell 2 barrels of crude oil, equivalently
we will buy back 1 barrel of fuel.



Financially,

Malaysia sell 2 barrel crude oil @ USD 130/barrel = USD 260 = RM 858

then, Malaysia will buy back fuel @ USD 134/barrel = RM 442/barrel

Thus, Malaysia earn net extra USD 126 = RM 416 for each 2 barrel of
crude sold/exported vs imported 1 barrel of fuel !!!

(USD 260-134 = USD 126 = RM416)



So where this extra USD 126/barrel income is channeled to by Malaysian
Govt?HuhHuh??



Another analysis:



1 barrel crude oil = 159 liters.

46-47% of a barrel of crude oil = fuel that we use in our vehicles.

46% of 159 = 73.14 liters.

@ RM 2.70/liter x 73.14 liter = RM197.48 of fuel per barrel of crude
oil. This is only 46% of the barrel, mind you. Using RM 3.30 = USD 1,
we get that a barrel of crude oil produces USD 59.84 worth of petrol
fuel (46% of 1barrel).

USD 59.84 of USD 130/barrel turns out to be 46% of a barrel as well.



Another 54% = bitumen, kerosene, and natural gases and so many more.
And this makes a balance of USD 70.16 that has not been accounted for.



So this is where I got curious. Where is the subsidy if we are paying
46% of the price of a barrel of crude oil when the production of
petrol/barrel of crude oil is still only 46%?



In actual fact, we still pay for this as they are charged in the forms
of fuel surcharge by airlines and road taxes for the building of road
(because they use the tar/bitumen) and many more excuse charging us
but let us just leave all that out of our calculations.



As far as I know, only the politicians who live in Putrajaya and come
for their Parliament meetings in Kuala Lumpur (approximately 60+ km)
are the ones to gain as they claim their fuel and toll charges from
the money of the RAKYAT's TAX.



It is so disappointing to see this happen time and time again to the
Malaysian public, where they are deceived by the propaganda held by
the politicians and the controls they have over the press.



Which stupid idiot economist equates rebates for rich or poor with the
cc of the vehicles? An average office clerk may own a second hand
1300cc proton Iswara costing $7,000 (rebate = $625) while the Datuk's
children can own a fleet of 10 new cars of BMW, Audi and Volvo all
less than 2000cc costing $2 millions and get a total rebate of $625 x
10 = $6,250! Wow what kind of economists we are keeping in
Malaysia...wonder which phD certificate that they bought from...



Misleading concept of Subsidy:



The word "subsidy" has been brandished by the BN government as if it
has so generously helped the rakyat and in doing so incurred losses.
This simple example will help to explain the fallacy:

Example:
Ahmad is a fisherman. He sells a fish to you at $10 which is below the
market value of $15. Let's assume that he caught the fish from the
abundance of the sea at little or no cost. Ahmad claims that since the
market value of the fish is $15 and he sold you the fish for $10, he
had subsidised you $5 and therefore made a loss of $5.

Question : Did Ahmad actually make a profit of $10 or loss of $5 which
he claimed is the subsidy?

Answer:
Ahmad makes a profit of $10 which is the difference of the selling
price ($10) minus the cost price ($0 since the fish was caught from
the abundance of the sea). There is no subsidy as claimed by Ahmad.


The BN government claims that it is a subsidy because the oil is kept
and treated as somebody else's property (you know who). By right, the
oil belongs to all citizens of the country and the government is a
trustee for the citizens. So as in the above simple example, the BN
government cannot claim that it has subsidised the citizen!
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« Reply #25 on: July 13, 2008, 12:54:22 PM »

........ since the overall chat is droping so, i stil want and see.
but this counter many ppl goreng/watch, so i just stand by a side 1st.... wait and see tactics

Wise move  afro Never underestimate a Stage 4 counter  coolsmiley
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Tctf
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« Reply #26 on: July 17, 2008, 11:12:20 PM »

 afro learn from past... lolz
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Trademore
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« Reply #27 on: November 23, 2008, 10:51:17 PM »

csong is right. scomi sleep too long.... sick or what? Speculative counter. What happen when Pak Lah no more in power? Scomi vaporise?  rolleyes
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« Reply #28 on: April 15, 2009, 09:00:51 PM »

Scomi in accumulation stage. Stage 1 yet to complete.  wink
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« Reply #29 on: June 04, 2009, 11:44:38 PM »

 afro Currently in Stage 2. Can't see correction since after 15/4/09 until 15/5/09 correction started and will soon break 80sen to continue Stage 2.  cheesy
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